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Predict Who Will Win the 2012 Presidential Election: Obama or Romney

Now that the Democratic and Republican delegates have officially chosen their nominees at their conventions, Patch wants to know: Who are you betting on?


It's official: With President Barack Obama's acceptance speech in Charlotte Thursday night, both the Republicans and Democrats have formally chosen their nominees for the 2012 presidential election. Let the real race begin.

A lot can change between now and Nov. 6: Gaffes, scandals or even major international news events could shift the dynamics of the campaign.

The latest Gallup Polls show registered voters preferring Obama to Mitt Romney by just one percentage point, 47 percent to 46 percent. A USA Today/Gallup poll taken just before the party conventions found American voters think Obama is more likeable, but trust Romney more to handle the economy.

Pundits have been busy for months handicapping the major-party candidates on various factors: incumbent advantage, fundraising clout, even religion.

Patch wants to know: Regardless of who you support for President, who do you think will actually claim victory in November?

Vote in our poll below, and let us know your reasoning in the comments.

ben September 07, 2012 at 10:22 PM
What an antagonistic post:) Romney should win, Obama will win though. It seems economic collapse, weak borders and the gutting of military and defense funding isnt more important to the majority of people than gay marriage or abortion. Im a bit liberal on social issues, but fiscally conservative. The government should not tell me what i can and cant do (ny ban on foods, wait till gov foots the health care bill, talk about a cascade of restrictions and requirments.) if i can have an abortion or not. The governments shouldnt fund these things either. I say leave it up to the states, all of it. Reduce the federal government to what it was originally inteded to do....protect your personal libertys and to protect you from aggressive foreign powers, to ensure your freedom and provide the opportunity for success. Its an issue to me when 49% of the country doesnt pay income taxes at all, but the democrat speaking point seems to be people dont pay "their fair share". Thats crazy. Increasing entitlment programs and also driving up debt and spurring inflation does seem to be a good strategy for locking in voters too...almost like they're creating dependence on gov and slowly converting us to socialism....wierd....
ben September 07, 2012 at 10:31 PM
Why not start a public works program? People would have to put in time to get their gov checks doing work for the government...at least we'd get something for our money, also i beleive the majority of people asked to put in 10 hours a week of community service would hate it and look for a job or even create one! but alas, the unions will strongly oppose this as it would take away from menial tasks that union workers could be doing. There is something to be said for teaching a man to fish you know. Sure we front him the pole, the bait, show him how its done. But he needs to fish on his own tomorrow. Obama keeps handing people fish...its a downward spiral for people in general.
dean esserman September 08, 2012 at 04:24 AM
obama will destroy this place we once called america. romney wins this time.
patsfan September 08, 2012 at 10:43 AM
I pray Romney wins this race! Oh crap am I allowed to pray anymore?
Margaret September 08, 2012 at 01:23 PM
Excuse me, author, Shouldn't the photo heading this post reflect BOTH candidates? "Patch Staff" can't help but push the picture of Mr merely gifted with spurious gab skills? WE THE PEOPLE have a choice! Respect your readers by showing both or neither please! Let's have THE real debate on choice of proven experience vs. community organizing skills (the "tone" of Washington community has "changed"--for the worst--just saying) Mr. Obama is a made-to-order front man for contemporary, upscale,socialism. We should have paid closer attention to the details in 2008. Not a bad person-easy to listen to and want to follow--but the job we are hiring for is the most serious in responsible decision making. Mr. Obama is far from Presidential material even after nearly 4 yrs of on-the-job training
Mrs. B September 08, 2012 at 10:21 PM
Oh, I'm sorry you want to know who will win in Rhode Island. Really did you have to ask? Unemployment up to 11%, 75% of Rhode Islanders on food stamps or some sort of public assistence. Obama is the man, he will take care of us, cradle to grave. Blue state forever! Take care of us! We can't think for ourselves. The democrats own the golden goose, no one wants to kill that goose. BLUE STATE FOREVER!
JACK September 09, 2012 at 11:34 PM
margaret must be a BIG TEABAGGER
Margaret September 10, 2012 at 01:32 AM
you're another sad case of vomiting the koolaid this is NOT the proper site for your fantasies But if you mean I am proud to stand for constitutional principles & convictions...your high level of intelligent name calling is quite meaningful in my world. Go for it By the way--the Urban Dictionary defines teabagger as "A living humanoid baring a skull that is VACANT OF A BRAIN and a mouth that is only silenced while suckling on an oversized ******* ummm-jack--they're looking for your photo to go along with that definition
Susan September 10, 2012 at 05:11 AM
Return to the dark ages for women's rights? give millionnaires more tax breaks off the backs of the poor? end Medicare as we know it? put the screws to the middle class? return to corporate and bank deregulation? go back to the policies that got us into this great recession? Hell no. Move this country forward, not backward? OBAMA 2012
Margaret September 10, 2012 at 02:20 PM
I am an Independent voter who sadly voted for Mr. Obama I so so wanted to believe his "yes we can" now all I have is "NO he can't"--not his fault--just misguided from way back he is. I have since gone into fact checking before accepting the handsome, personable easy pick up votes lines. Obama's minions assume we won't remember that the GOP's support of women's rights goes back to its founding in 1854. Nor will NOW, much less the "news" media, remind us female voters that our very ability to cast a ballot was won for us by the Republicans.A California Republican named A.A. Sargent introduced the 19th Amendment only to become a 40 yr battle with Democrat-controlled Congresses. It finally passed four decades later, when the Republicans won landslide victories in the House and the Senate, giving them the power to pass the amendment despite continued opposition from most elected Democrats -- including Pres Woodrow Wilson, who the suffragettes called "Kaiser Wilson." One of the most interesting battles in the long war over women's rights involved the Mormons of Utah. In 1870, almost 50 yrs before Congress passed the 19th Amendment, the territory of Utah granted women the right to vote When the 19th amend. finally went to the states, 26 of the 36 states that ratified it had Republican legislatures. Of the 9 states that voted against ratification, 8 were Democratic. Many of these Democrat-controlled states refused to ratify the amendment until the 1970s.
Margaret September 10, 2012 at 02:20 PM
another Ozombie fave: give rich tax breaks on the backs of the poor No income tax was paid by 51 percent of the households in America in 2009. Zero. Zip. Nada. 30 % of American households actually MADE MONEY from the tax system by way of refundable tax credits not to mention subsidized living via entitlement programs. The poor need jobs! I don't know of one single poor person hiring for any position. Do You? Right Move this country forward..Obama 2012....please see Euro Union for accurate forecasting of our futures I spent 3 days in Barcelona a few weeks ago & it is sad sad to see what big government, mismanagement & socialism by any other name can quickly do to a country. And the same infection all over Europe. WE still have a choice! We KNOW better!
Local Yokal September 10, 2012 at 03:21 PM
Margaret, I just have to ask. You do realize that it was LIBERALS who fought for women to get their right to vote, not CONSERVATIVES? Anyone who has read a history book knows the Republicans were the liberals and Democrats were the conservatives back then. You look pretty silly bragging about liberal accomplishments that the conservatives of those times actively fought. I can assume since you are a champion of women's rights that you support the Lilly Ledbetter Act which supports Equal Pay for Women - which the current Republican Party (even women members!) all voted against.
Margaret September 10, 2012 at 09:36 PM
that's exactly my point Yokal Independent voter--mostly-libertarian, fiscally-conservative, selectively liberal, etc. I vote the issues not party banners or talking heads soundbite-feedings. No single candidate can match my political wish list. None. Let's focus on priorities and who can get something done! Sometimes compromise is the best one can temporarily win. The 2012 Lilly Paycheck Fairness Act vote was one more drumbeat exhibition to feed the war on women propaganda IMO The Ledbetter Act (amending the 1964 Civil Rights Act) was signed into law in 2009 by Pres Obama! The 2012 vote which most conservatives opposed dealt with the "statute of limitations for presenting an equal-pay lawsuit"--I agree that 6 months (current law) is long enough for a woman to bring her discriminatory pay issues to litigation. The only benefactors from the 2012 amendment passing would have been TRIAL LAWYERS! (John Edwards for Pres 2020 LOL) by the way-let's be fair--the President could issue an Executive Order that would make it illegal to retaliate against employees for discussing salary--he could have done so that same day war on women was "declared" in this election season note: In April of 2012 a study of what women were being paid in the Obama White House showed they were being paid LESS on average than the men
Local Yokal September 11, 2012 at 12:51 PM
"I vote the issues not party banners or talking heads soundbite-feedings." Margaret, you just went on and on praising one political party for their champion of women's rights over a hundred years ago. In the present, that same party prevents Democrats from passing anything that would bring more equality to the workplace for women. Even if they didn't like way the Democrats were trying to do it, if Republicans truly supported women's rights, they would propose an alternative to the Democrats instead of only voting against it. You are either very confused, very disingenuous, or both. Facts are facts, you are cheerleading for the people who are holding you back.

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